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2024-12-13 16:29:00

European Central Bank President Lagarde: We must be very cautious. European Central Bank President Lagarde: We must be very cautious because service prices and wages are rising rapidly. Financial difficulties are self-created uncertainties.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: Sweden is conducting in-depth consultations with Israel on the Syrian issue.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)


European Central Bank President Lagarde: The European Central Bank will pay attention to the impact of the exchange rate on the economy. European Central Bank President Lagarde: The European Central Bank will pay attention to the impact of the exchange rate on the economy.SINOMACH (ING): It will be "neutral" to stop the easing cycle (temporarily) after the European Central Bank cuts interest rates again.Bitcoin rose nearly $700 in the short term, with an increase of 0.5% in the day, and is now reported at $101,588/piece.


WTI crude oil fell by 1.00% in the day and is now reported at $69.26/barrel.The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 5 basis points to 2.18%, the highest level in two weeks.Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC): As there was no one-off income from equity securities trading in the last quarter, bank profits declined, which was partially offset by strong net interest income; The bank reported that its quarterly net interest income increased by $4.5 billion and its net interest margin rose to 3.23%. Bank of America's profits fell by 8.6% to $65.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024.

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